Congressional
Table shows the performance of each candidate (“2022”) compared to our benchmark races in 2018 & 2020. The “Performance” column compares that candidate’s performance to the average Republican candidate performance in 2022 – a positive number indicates that candidate performed better than average, a negative number indicates that candidate performed worse than average.
| District | Candidates | 2020 POTUS | 2018 IL GOV | 2020 PT | 2022 | Performance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IL-01 | Carlson (R) vs Jackson (D) | -42.21% | -46.68% | -18.15% | -34.07% | 7.21% |
| IL-02 | Lynch (R) vs Kelly (D) | -40.42% | -43.75% | -21.85% | -34.26% | 6.68% |
| IL-03 | Burau (R) vs Ramirez (D) | -41.35% | -39.53% | -20.39% | -37.00% | 2.35% |
| IL-04 | Falakos (R) vs Garcia (D) | -46.41% | -45.36% | -23.08% | -40.35% | 3.53% |
| IL-05 | Hanson (R) vs Quigley (D) | -39.84% | -27.25% | -7.24% | -40.75% | -10.37% |
| IL-06 | Pekau (R) vs Casten (D) | -10.89% | -5.06% | 14.32% | -8.72% | -2.57% |
| IL-07 | Davis (R) – Uncontested) | -72.94% | -68.47% | -42.65% | — | — |
| IL-08 | Dargis (R) vs Krishnamoorthi (D) | -15.46% | -7.85% | 5.28% | -13.78% | -2.17% |
| IL-09 | Rice (R) vs Schakowsky (D) | -41.31% | -35.05% | -18.09% | -43.38% | -6.29% |
| IL-10 | Severino (R) vs Schneider (D) | -25.91% | -8.94% | 9.52% | -26.00% | -11.96% |
| IL-11 | Lauf (R) vs Foster (D) | -15.21% | -2.53% | 14.72% | -12.90% | -6.30% |
| IL-12 | Bost (R) vs Markel (D) | 42.60% | 23.53% | 51.62% | 50.00% | 16.35% |
| IL-13 | Deering (R) vs Budzinski (D) | -11.06% | -15.90% | 11.94% | -13.23% | -2.62% |
| IL-14 | Gryder (R) vs Underwood (D) | -11.43% | -9.22% | 16.61% | -8.32% | -1.38% |
| IL-15 | Miller (R) vs Lange (D) | 38.57% | 25.65% | 50.42% | 42.28% | 9.67% |
| IL-16 | LaHood (R) vs Haderlein (D) | 21.31% | 20.39% | 40.26% | 32.66% | 10.94% |
| IL-17 | Joy King (R) vs Sorenson (D) | -7.61% | -9.08% | 14.65% | -3.97% | 2.31% |
| Candidates | 2020 POTUS | 2018 IL GOV | 2020 PT | Performance |
